1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.52
xG Away
3.03
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Casa Pia AC an expected 0.5 goals and Sporting CP an expected 3.0 goals. Casa Pia AC have a 4% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Sporting CP at 86%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
13.3%
0:2
13.2%
0:4
10.1%
0:1
8.7%
1:3
6.9%
1:2
6.8%
1:4
5.2%
1:1
4.5%
0:0
2.9%
2:3
1.8%
2:2
1.8%
1:0
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 86% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.16 |
| Market Odds | 1.24 |
Team Comparison
| Casa Pia AC | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 2 |
| 30 | Points | 82 |
| 18% | Win % | 74% |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.62 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Casa Pia AC at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Sporting CP Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Casa Pia AC
W
L
L
D
Sporting CP
D
W
D