Canada vs Republic of Ireland Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 05 Jun 2026 · Friendlies
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 1.5 goals and Republic of Ireland an expected 1.2 goals. Canada have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Republic of Ireland at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Canada Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

Canada at Home
W2 D0 L0 (2 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Canada
W W