1
53%
Home Win
1.87
X
22%
Draw
4.52
2
24%
Away Win
4.1
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 1.9 goals and Morocco an expected 1.2 goals. Canada have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Morocco at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
8.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
6.2%
3:1
6.2%
2:2
6%
0:1
5.2%
3:0
5%
0:0
4.2%
3:2
3.9%
0:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Canada Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Canada | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
