Canada vs Honduras Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 18 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 91%
Home Win 1.1
X 2%
Draw 63.29
2 0%
Away Win 100
xG Home 5.00
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
BTTS 24%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 5.0 goals and Honduras an expected 0.3 goals. Canada have a 91% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Honduras at 0%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 13%
3:0 10.4%
2:0 6.2%
4:1 3.9%
3:1 3.1%
1:0 2.5%
2:1 1.9%
1:1 0.7%
4:2 0.6%
0:0 0.5%
3:2 0.5%
2:2 0.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Canada Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Canada Honduras
1 League Position 2
7 Points 6
67% Win % 67%
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33

Head to Head

29 Mar 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Canada 4 : 1 Honduras
W
14 Jun 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras 2 : 1 Canada
L
28 Jan 2022 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Honduras 0 : 2 Canada
W