1
83%
Home Win
1.21
X
14%
Draw
7.33
2
4%
Away Win
27.86
xG Home
2.29
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
23%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Canada an expected 2.3 goals and Guatemala an expected 0.3 goals. Canada have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Guatemala at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
19.7%
1:0
17.2%
3:0
15%
4:0
8.6%
0:0
7.5%
2:1
5.9%
1:1
5.2%
3:1
4.5%
4:1
2.6%
0:1
2.3%
2:2
0.9%
1:2
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Canada Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Canada | Guatemala | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Guatemala
0 : 0
Canada
D