1
83%
Home Win
1.2
X
13%
Draw
7.65
2
4%
Away Win
26.18
xG Home
2.38
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Burkina Faso an expected 2.4 goals and Equatorial Guinea an expected 0.3 goals. Burkina Faso have a 83% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Equatorial Guinea at 4%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
18.6%
1:0
15.6%
3:0
14.8%
4:0
8.8%
0:0
6.6%
2:1
6.3%
1:1
5.3%
3:1
5%
4:1
3%
0:1
2.2%
2:2
1.1%
1:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Burkina Faso Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Burkina Faso | Equatorial Guinea | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 0 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
Head to Head
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 0
Burkina Faso
D
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 0
Burkina Faso
D