BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern Prediction

2 – 2
Most Likely Score
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.42
xG Away 2.01
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
BTTS 79%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives BSC Young Boys an expected 2.4 goals and FC Luzern an expected 2.0 goals. BSC Young Boys have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and FC Luzern at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:2 7.1%
2:1 7%
1:2 5.8%
1:1 5.8%
3:2 5.7%
3:1 5.7%
2:3 4.7%
1:3 3.9%
3:3 3.8%
2:0 3.5%
4:2 3.4%
4:1 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick BSC Young Boys Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Team Comparison

BSC Young Boys FC Luzern
6 League Position 7
48 Points 40
39% Win % 30%
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85

Venue Form

BSC Young Boys at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
FC Luzern Away
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

BSC Young Boys
W D
FC Luzern
D