1
29%
Home Win
3.42
X
31%
Draw
3.18
2
39%
Away Win
2.55
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brondby an expected 0.9 goals and Aarhus GF an expected 1.1 goals. Brondby have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Aarhus GF at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15.5%
0:0
14.7%
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.7%
0:2
8.1%
1:2
7%
2:1
5.8%
2:0
5.5%
2:2
3%
0:3
2.9%
1:3
2.5%
3:1
1.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aarhus GF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Brondby | Aarhus GF | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 34 | Points | 50 |
| 45% | Win % | 68% |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Brondby at Home
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Aarhus GF Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Brondby
L
L
D
L
Aarhus GF
W
D
L
