Bristol City vs Sheffield United Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Championship
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.53
xG Away 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
BTTS 57%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bristol City an expected 1.5 goals and Sheffield United an expected 1.3 goals. Bristol City have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Sheffield United at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.7%
1:0 9%
2:1 9%
0:1 7.7%
1:2 7.7%
2:0 6.8%
0:0 5.9%
2:2 5.9%
0:2 5%
3:1 4.6%
3:0 3.5%
1:3 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bristol City Win
Probability 42%
Predicted Odds 2.38
Market Odds 2.53

Team Comparison

Bristol City Sheffield United
12 League Position 13
62 Points 60
37% Win % 39%
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43

Venue Form

Bristol City at Home
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate
Sheffield United Away
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate

Recent Form

Bristol City
W L W L
Sheffield United
L W W W