1
69%
Home Win
1.45
X
22%
Draw
4.47
2
9%
Away Win
11.71
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 1.7 goals and Morocco an expected 0.4 goals. Brazil have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Morocco at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
20.6%
2:0
17.4%
0:0
12.2%
3:0
9.8%
1:1
8.5%
2:1
7.2%
0:1
5.1%
4:0
4.1%
3:1
4.1%
1:2
1.8%
4:1
1.7%
2:2
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Morocco | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Head to Head
Morocco
2 : 1
Brazil
L