1
93%
Home Win
1.07
X
2%
Draw
42.19
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
4.50
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 4.5 goals and Haiti an expected 0.3 goals. Brazil have a 93% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Haiti at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
14.1%
3:0
12.5%
2:0
8.3%
4:1
4.2%
3:1
3.7%
1:0
3.7%
2:1
2.5%
1:1
1.1%
0:0
0.8%
4:2
0.6%
3:2
0.6%
2:2
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Haiti | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 0 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
Head to Head
Brazil
7 : 1
Haiti
W