1
35%
Home Win
2.88
X
29%
Draw
3.44
2
36%
Away Win
2.76
xG Home
1.09
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brazil an expected 1.1 goals and Colombia an expected 1.1 goals. Brazil have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Colombia at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
0:1
12.3%
1:0
12%
0:0
11%
1:2
7.5%
2:1
7.3%
0:2
6.9%
2:0
6.5%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
2.8%
3:1
2.6%
0:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Brazil | Colombia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Colombia
2 : 1
Brazil
L
Brazil
1 : 0
Colombia
W
Colombia
0 : 0
Brazil
D