1
52%
Home Win
1.91
X
21%
Draw
4.72
2
26%
Away Win
3.8
xG Home
2.07
xG Away
1.43
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
66%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Brann an expected 2.1 goals and Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.4 goals. Brann have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Sarpsborg 08 at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.3%
1:1
8.9%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
6.5%
3:1
6.4%
1:2
6.4%
1:0
6.3%
3:2
4.6%
3:0
4.5%
0:1
4.3%
4:1
3.3%
2:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brann Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Brann | Sarpsborg 08 | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 8 |
| 56 | Points | 41 |
| 57% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Venue Form
Brann at Home
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Sarpsborg 08 Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Brann
L
W
W
Sarpsborg 08
D
L
L
Head to Head
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 4
Brann
W
Brann
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 FF
D
Brann
1 : 3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
W
