1
64%
Home Win
1.56
X
22%
Draw
4.47
2
14%
Away Win
7.37
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
0.68
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botafogo an expected 1.8 goals and Vitoria an expected 0.7 goals. Botafogo have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Vitoria at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.2%
2:0
13.6%
1:1
10.3%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
8.5%
3:0
8.1%
0:1
5.8%
3:1
5.5%
4:0
3.6%
1:2
3.5%
2:2
3.1%
4:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Botafogo | Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 15 |
| 63 | Points | 45 |
| 45% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.92 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.37 |
Venue Form
Botafogo at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Vitoria Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Botafogo
L
D
Vitoria
D
L
Head to Head
Vitoria
0 : 0
Botafogo
D
Botafogo
0 : 0
Vitoria
D
Botafogo
1 : 1
Vitoria
D
