1
63%
Home Win
1.59
X
21%
Draw
4.73
2
16%
Away Win
6.27
xG Home
1.96
xG Away
0.87
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS
50%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botafogo an expected 2.0 goals and RB Bragantino an expected 0.9 goals. Botafogo have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and RB Bragantino at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
11.6%
2:0
11.3%
1:1
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
3:0
7.4%
3:1
6.4%
0:0
5.9%
0:1
5.1%
1:2
4.4%
2:2
4.3%
4:0
3.6%
4:1
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| Botafogo | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 10 |
| 63 | Points | 48 |
| 45% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Botafogo at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
RB Bragantino Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Botafogo
L
D
RB Bragantino
D
L
W
