1
45%
Home Win
2.21
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
27%
Away Win
3.71
xG Home
1.34
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Botafogo an expected 1.3 goals and Fluminense an expected 1.0 goals. Botafogo have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Fluminense at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.4%
1:1
12.9%
0:0
10%
0:1
9.6%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.6%
2:2
4.2%
3:0
4%
3:1
3.9%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Botafogo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Botafogo | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 63 | Points | 64 |
| 45% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Botafogo at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Fluminense Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Botafogo
L
D
Fluminense
L
W
