1
14%
Home Win
7.04
X
35%
Draw
2.87
2
51%
Away Win
1.96
xG Home
0.40
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
17%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Borussia Dortmund an expected 0.4 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.0 goals. Borussia Dortmund have a 14% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Monterrey at 51%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
24.6%
0:0
24%
0:2
12.7%
1:1
9.9%
1:0
9.6%
1:2
5.1%
0:3
4.3%
2:1
2%
2:0
1.9%
1:3
1.7%
0:4
1.1%
2:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Borussia Dortmund | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 5 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |