1
53%
Home Win
1.89
X
26%
Draw
3.87
2
21%
Away Win
4.7
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
0.86
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Boca Juniors an expected 1.5 goals and Unión Santa Fe an expected 0.9 goals. Boca Juniors have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Unión Santa Fe at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14%
1:1
12.1%
2:0
10.7%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
9.1%
0:1
7.9%
3:0
5.4%
1:2
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
2:2
4%
0:2
3.4%
4:0
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Boca Juniors | Unión Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 29 | Points | 25 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Boca Juniors at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Unión Santa Fe Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Boca Juniors
L
W
Unión Santa Fe
D
L
W
D
