1
42%
Home Win
2.37
X
34%
Draw
2.93
2
24%
Away Win
4.22
xG Home
0.98
xG Away
0.66
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentinos Juniors an expected 1.0 goals and Tigre an expected 0.7 goals. Argentinos Juniors have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Tigre at 24%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
19.4%
1:0
19.1%
0:1
12.7%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
9.4%
2:1
6.2%
0:2
4.2%
1:2
4.1%
3:0
3.1%
2:2
2%
3:1
2%
0:3
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentinos Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Argentinos Juniors | Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 7 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 44% | Win % | 31% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Argentinos Juniors at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Tigre Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Argentinos Juniors
W
W
W
W
Tigre
L
L
D
L
