1
5%
Home Win
21.01
X
10%
Draw
9.9
2
85%
Away Win
1.18
xG Home
0.64
xG Away
3.09
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Boca Juniors an expected 0.6 goals and Benfica an expected 3.1 goals. Boca Juniors have a 5% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Benfica at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
11.8%
0:2
11.5%
0:4
9.1%
1:3
7.6%
0:1
7.4%
1:2
7.3%
1:4
5.8%
1:1
4.8%
2:3
2.4%
0:0
2.4%
2:2
2.3%
2:4
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Boca Juniors | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 2 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 3 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |