1
41%
Home Win
2.42
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
35%
Away Win
2.87
xG Home
1.62
xG Away
1.47
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Besiktas an expected 1.6 goals and Trabzonspor an expected 1.5 goals. Besiktas have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Trabzonspor at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
8.8%
1:2
8%
1:0
7.3%
0:1
6.7%
2:2
6.5%
2:0
6%
0:2
4.9%
3:1
4.7%
0:0
4.5%
1:3
3.9%
3:2
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Besiktas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Besiktas | Trabzonspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 60 | Points | 69 |
| 50% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
Venue Form
Besiktas at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Trabzonspor Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Besiktas
W
L
D
Trabzonspor
L
W
L