Benin vs Senegal Prediction

Live Match Centre & Lineups ›
0 – 2
Most Likely Score
Tue, 30 Dec 2025 · Africa Cup of Nations
1 3%
Home Win 30.3
X 13%
Draw 7.9
2 84%
Away Win 1.19
xG Home 0.30
xG Away 2.38
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 24%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Benin an expected 0.3 goals and Senegal an expected 2.4 goals. Benin have a 3% win probability, draw stands at 13%, and Senegal at 84%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:2 19.4%
0:1 16.3%
0:3 15.4%
0:4 9.2%
0:0 6.8%
1:2 5.8%
1:1 4.9%
1:3 4.6%
1:4 2.8%
1:0 2%
2:2 0.9%
2:1 0.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Senegal Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Benin Senegal
3 League Position 1
3 Points 7
33% Win % 67%
0.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33

Head to Head

26 Mar 2024 Friendlies
Senegal 1 : 0 Benin
L
17 Jun 2023 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Benin 1 : 1 Senegal
D
04 Jun 2022 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Senegal 3 : 1 Benin
L