1
34%
Home Win
2.97
X
24%
Draw
4.21
2
43%
Away Win
2.35
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
62%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Benfica an expected 1.4 goals and Bayern München an expected 1.6 goals. Benfica have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Bayern München at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
1:2
8.9%
2:1
7.8%
0:1
7.5%
1:0
6.6%
2:2
6.4%
0:2
6.2%
1:3
4.9%
2:0
4.7%
0:0
4.6%
3:1
3.7%
2:3
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bayern München Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Benfica | Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 4 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Bayern München
1 : 0
Benfica
L
Bayern Munich
5 : 2
Benfica
L
Benfica
0 : 4
Bayern Munich
L