1
74%
Home Win
1.36
X
14%
Draw
6.93
2
12%
Away Win
8.67
xG Home
2.89
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 2.9 goals and Senegal an expected 1.1 goals. Belgium have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Senegal at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.5%
3:1
8.2%
2:0
7.7%
3:0
7.4%
4:1
5.9%
1:1
5.9%
4:0
5.4%
1:0
5.3%
2:2
4.7%
3:2
4.5%
4:2
3.3%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Belgium | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |