1
74%
Home Win
1.35
X
14%
Draw
7.07
2
11%
Away Win
8.76
xG Home
2.95
xG Away
1.12
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
64%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 3.0 goals and Senegal an expected 1.1 goals. Belgium have a 74% win probability, draw stands at 14%, and Senegal at 11%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.3%
3:1
8.2%
2:0
7.4%
3:0
7.3%
4:1
6%
1:1
5.6%
4:0
5.4%
1:0
5%
2:2
4.7%
3:2
4.6%
4:2
3.4%
1:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 74% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.35 |
| Market Odds | 1.44 |
Team Comparison
| Belgium | Senegal | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
