1
63%
Home Win
1.58
X
26%
Draw
3.79
2
10%
Away Win
9.61
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Belgium an expected 1.4 goals and Iran an expected 0.4 goals. Belgium have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Iran at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
22.5%
2:0
16.3%
0:0
15.6%
1:1
9.3%
3:0
7.9%
2:1
6.7%
0:1
6.4%
3:1
3.2%
4:0
2.8%
1:2
1.9%
2:2
1.4%
0:2
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Belgium Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Belgium | Iran | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 3 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |