1
58%
Home Win
1.73
X
19%
Draw
5.33
2
23%
Away Win
4.32
xG Home
2.48
xG Away
1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
BTTS
72%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 2.5 goals and Yunnan Yukun an expected 1.5 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Yunnan Yukun at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
8.5%
3:1
7%
1:1
6.8%
2:2
6.6%
2:0
5.5%
3:2
5.4%
1:2
5.3%
3:0
4.5%
1:0
4.4%
4:1
4.3%
2:3
3.4%
4:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Yunnan Yukun | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 29 | Points | 28 |
| 43% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.95 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Yunnan Yukun Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Yunnan Yukun
L
D
