Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction

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2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Fri, 07 Aug 2026 · Super League
1 59%
Home Win 1.7
X 21%
Draw 4.84
2 20%
Away Win 4.91
xG Home 2.11
xG Away 1.16
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
BTTS 60%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 2.1 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.2 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 9.8%
1:1 9.3%
2:0 8.4%
1:0 8%
3:1 6.9%
3:0 5.9%
2:2 5.7%
1:2 5.4%
0:1 4.4%
3:2 4%
0:0 3.8%
4:1 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Beijing Guoan Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Beijing Guoan Sichuan Jiuniu
7 League Position 10
26 Points 23
40% Win % 33%
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76

Venue Form

Beijing Guoan at Home
W3 D1 L0 (4 games)
75% win rate
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0 D0 L3 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Beijing Guoan
D W W W
Sichuan Jiuniu
L L L

Head to Head

21 Apr 2026 Super League
Sichuan Jiuniu 0 : 1 Beijing Guoan
W
18 Oct 2025 Super League
Sichuan Jiuniu 2 : 1 Beijing Guoan
L
10 May 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan 3 : 1 Sichuan Jiuniu
L