1
59%
Home Win
1.7
X
21%
Draw
4.84
2
20%
Away Win
4.91
xG Home
2.11
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 2.1 goals and Sichuan Jiuniu an expected 1.2 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Sichuan Jiuniu at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.8%
1:1
9.3%
2:0
8.4%
1:0
8%
3:1
6.9%
3:0
5.9%
2:2
5.7%
1:2
5.4%
0:1
4.4%
3:2
4%
0:0
3.8%
4:1
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Sichuan Jiuniu | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 26 | Points | 23 |
| 40% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Sichuan Jiuniu Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
L
L
L
Head to Head
Sichuan Jiuniu
0 : 1
Beijing Guoan
W
Sichuan Jiuniu
2 : 1
Beijing Guoan
L
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Sichuan Jiuniu
L