1
56%
Home Win
1.77
X
20%
Draw
4.89
2
23%
Away Win
4.31
xG Home
2.17
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 2.2 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.3 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 56% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Shandong Taishan at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.4%
1:1
8.7%
2:0
7%
3:1
6.8%
1:0
6.5%
2:2
6.3%
1:2
5.8%
3:0
5.1%
3:2
4.6%
0:1
4%
4:1
3.7%
0:0
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 6 |
| 38 | Points | 37 |
| 42% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
D
W
W
W
Shandong Taishan
L
L
W
L