1
45%
Home Win
2.21
X
22%
Draw
4.6
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
1.94
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS
69%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.9 goals and Shandong Taishan an expected 1.6 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Shandong Taishan at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
8.9%
2:1
8.6%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
7.1%
3:1
5.6%
1:0
5.4%
2:0
5.3%
3:2
4.6%
0:1
4.6%
1:3
4%
2:3
3.9%
0:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Shandong Taishan | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 4 |
| 18 | Points | 21 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.69 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.63 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W2
D0
L0
(2 games)
Shandong Taishan Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
W
W
Shandong Taishan
W
L
