1
49%
Home Win
2.06
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
26%
Away Win
3.92
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.5 goals and Henan FC an expected 1.0 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Henan FC at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
12.2%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
9.1%
0:1
8.2%
0:0
8.1%
1:2
6.2%
2:2
4.7%
3:1
4.6%
3:0
4.6%
0:2
4.1%
3:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Beijing Guoan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Beijing Guoan | Henan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 11 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.73 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
Venue Form
Beijing Guoan at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Beijing Guoan
W
Head to Head
Beijing Guoan
3 : 0
Henan Jianye
L
Henan Jianye
2 : 0
Beijing Guoan
L
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0
Henan Jianye
L