Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Super League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.70
xG Away 1.26
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
BTTS 59%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.7 goals and Hangzhou Greentown an expected 1.3 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Hangzhou Greentown at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.1%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 8.8%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.5%
2:2 5.9%
3:1 5.3%
0:0 5.2%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.1%
3:2 3.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Beijing Guoan Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Beijing Guoan at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Hangzhou Greentown Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Beijing Guoan
W
Hangzhou Greentown
L

Head to Head

17 Apr 2026 Super League
Hangzhou Greentown 0 : 0 Beijing Guoan
D
10 Aug 2025 Super League
Hangzhou Greentown 3 : 4 Beijing Guoan
W
06 Apr 2025 Super League
Beijing Guoan 2 : 0 Hangzhou Greentown
W