Beijing Guoan vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 01 Aug 2026 · Super League
1 48%
Home Win 2.1
X 24%
Draw 4.15
2 28%
Away Win 3.53
xG Home 1.67
xG Away 1.24
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
BTTS 58%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Beijing Guoan an expected 1.7 goals and Hangzhou Greentown an expected 1.2 goals. Beijing Guoan have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Hangzhou Greentown at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 55%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.3%
2:1 9.4%
1:0 9.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7%
0:1 6.8%
2:2 5.8%
0:0 5.5%
3:1 5.2%
3:0 4.2%
0:2 4.2%
3:2 3.2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Beijing Guoan Win
Probability 48%
Predicted Odds 2.08
Market Odds 2.22

Venue Form

Beijing Guoan at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Hangzhou Greentown Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Beijing Guoan
W
Hangzhou Greentown
L