Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Bayern München Bayern München
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 23 May 2026 · DFB Pokal
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Bayern München an expected 1.5 goals and VfB Stuttgart an expected 1.2 goals. Bayern München have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and VfB Stuttgart at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Bayern München Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Bayern München at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
VfB Stuttgart Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Bayern München
W
VfB Stuttgart
L

Head to Head

19 Apr 2026 Bundesliga
Bayern München 4 : 2 VfB Stuttgart
W
06 Dec 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0 : 5 Bayern München
W
16 Aug 2025 Super Cup
VfB Stuttgart 1 : 2 Bayern München
W