1
34%
Home Win
2.98
X
30%
Draw
3.38
2
37%
Away Win
2.71
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
43%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Barracas Central an expected 1.0 goals and Argentinos Juniors an expected 1.1 goals. Barracas Central have a 34% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Argentinos Juniors at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.5%
0:1
13%
1:0
12.2%
0:0
11.8%
1:2
7.4%
0:2
7.1%
2:1
7%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
3.8%
1:3
2.7%
0:3
2.6%
3:1
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentinos Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Barracas Central | Argentinos Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 23 | Points | 24 |
| 31% | Win % | 44% |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.81 |
Venue Form
Barracas Central at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Argentinos Juniors Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Barracas Central
W
L
D
Argentinos Juniors
L
W
D
