1
26%
Home Win
3.83
X
35%
Draw
2.84
2
39%
Away Win
2.58
xG Home
0.68
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Baltika an expected 0.7 goals and Zenit Saint Petersburg an expected 0.9 goals. Baltika have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Zenit Saint Petersburg at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
20.5%
0:1
18.5%
1:0
14%
1:1
12.6%
0:2
8.3%
1:2
5.7%
2:0
4.8%
2:1
4.3%
0:3
2.5%
2:2
1.9%
1:3
1.7%
3:0
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Zenit Saint Petersburg Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Baltika | Zenit Saint Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 46 | Points | 68 |
| 37% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.77 |
| 0.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.63 |
Venue Form
Baltika at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Zenit Saint Petersburg Away
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Baltika
L
Zenit Saint Petersburg
W
