1
53%
Home Win
1.89
X
24%
Draw
4.14
2
23%
Away Win
4.34
xG Home
1.69
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bahia an expected 1.7 goals and Internacional an expected 1.0 goals. Bahia have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Internacional at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.5%
1:0
11.2%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
9.4%
0:1
6.8%
0:0
6.6%
1:2
5.9%
3:1
5.5%
3:0
5.3%
2:2
5%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bahia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Bahia | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 16 |
| 60 | Points | 44 |
| 45% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Bahia at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Internacional Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Bahia
W
L
D
Internacional
L
L
D
D
L
