1
46%
Home Win
2.16
X
27%
Draw
3.69
2
27%
Away Win
3.77
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.98
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Bahia an expected 1.4 goals and Corinthians an expected 1.0 goals. Bahia have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Corinthians at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
12.7%
0:0
9.3%
0:1
9.1%
2:0
9%
2:1
8.9%
1:2
6.2%
0:2
4.5%
2:2
4.4%
3:0
4.2%
3:1
4.1%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Bahia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Bahia | Corinthians | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 13 |
| 60 | Points | 47 |
| 45% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Bahia at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Corinthians Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Bahia
W
L
D
Corinthians
L
D
Head to Head
Corinthians
1 : 2
Bahia
W
Corinthians
1 : 2
Bahia
W
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
D
