1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.31
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Australia an expected 1.3 goals and Tajikistan an expected 1.0 goals. Australia have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Tajikistan at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.3%
0:1
10%
2:0
8.8%
2:1
8.5%
1:2
6.3%
0:2
4.8%
2:2
4.1%
3:0
3.8%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Australia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Head to Head
Australia
7 : 0
Tajikistan
W
Tajikistan
0 : 3
Australia
W
