1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
0.92
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Austin an expected 1.1 goals and Real Salt Lake an expected 0.9 goals. Austin have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Real Salt Lake at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.5%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12.8%
0:1
11.8%
2:0
8.3%
2:1
7.6%
1:2
6.1%
0:2
5.4%
2:2
3.5%
3:0
3.1%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Austin Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Austin | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 9 |
| 47 | Points | 41 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
Venue Form
Austin at Home
W2
D3
L1
(6 games)
Real Salt Lake Away
W1
D0
L4
(5 games)
Recent Form
Austin
D
D
D
W
W
Real Salt Lake
L
L
L
L
W
