1
1%
Home Win
100
X
2%
Draw
40.16
2
92%
Away Win
1.09
xG Home
0.40
xG Away
4.66
Over 2.5 Goals
83%
BTTS
31%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Auckland City an expected 0.4 goals and Boca Juniors an expected 4.7 goals. Auckland City have a 1% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Boca Juniors at 92%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–4. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:4
12.5%
0:3
10.7%
0:2
6.9%
1:4
5%
1:3
4.3%
0:1
2.9%
1:2
2.7%
1:1
1.2%
2:4
1%
2:3
0.9%
0:0
0.6%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Boca Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Auckland City | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 1 | Points | 2 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 5.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |