1
47%
Home Win
2.11
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
26%
Away Win
3.82
xG Home
1.45
xG Away
1.01
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
49%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atletico-MG an expected 1.5 goals and RB Bragantino an expected 1.0 goals. Atletico-MG have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and RB Bragantino at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
12.4%
2:1
9.1%
2:0
9%
0:1
8.6%
0:0
8.6%
1:2
6.3%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
4.4%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Atletico-MG Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Atletico-MG | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 48 | Points | 48 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Atletico-MG at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
RB Bragantino Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Atletico-MG
D
L
W
RB Bragantino
D
L
W
Head to Head
RB Bragantino
1 : 0
Atletico-MG
L
RB Bragantino
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
L
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
RB Bragantino
L
