1
21%
Home Win
4.73
X
21%
Draw
4.83
2
58%
Away Win
1.72
xG Home
1.20
xG Away
2.11
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Atlanta United FC an expected 1.2 goals and Orlando City an expected 2.1 goals. Atlanta United FC have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Orlando City at 58%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.8%
1:1
9.3%
0:2
8.1%
0:1
7.7%
1:3
6.8%
2:2
5.9%
0:3
5.7%
2:1
5.6%
1:0
4.4%
2:3
4.1%
0:0
3.7%
1:4
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Orlando City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 58% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.72 |
| Market Odds | 1.83 |
Team Comparison
| Atlanta United FC | Orlando City | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 9 |
| 28 | Points | 53 |
| 15% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.85 |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Atlanta United FC at Home
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Orlando City Away
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Atlanta United FC
L
W
L
L
Orlando City
L
W
L
