1
37%
Home Win
2.68
X
24%
Draw
4.15
2
39%
Away Win
2.6
xG Home
1.51
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Arka Gdynia an expected 1.5 goals and Nieciecza an expected 1.5 goals. Arka Gdynia have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Nieciecza at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
8.3%
0:1
7.3%
1:0
7.2%
2:2
6.4%
0:2
5.6%
2:0
5.4%
0:0
4.8%
1:3
4.3%
3:1
4.2%
2:3
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nieciecza Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Arka Gdynia | Nieciecza | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 18 |
| 36 | Points | 34 |
| 26% | Win % | 26% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.91 |
Venue Form
Arka Gdynia at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Nieciecza Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Arka Gdynia
L
D
L
Nieciecza
W
L
W
Head to Head
Nieciecza
2 : 0
Arka Gdynia
L
Arka Gdynia
2 : 1
Nieciecza
L
Nieciecza
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
L
