1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.66
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
35%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentinos Juniors an expected 1.3 goals and Independ. Rivadavia an expected 0.7 goals. Argentinos Juniors have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Independ. Rivadavia at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.5%
0:0
14.4%
1:1
12.1%
2:0
11.9%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
7.8%
3:0
5.1%
1:2
4%
3:1
3.3%
0:2
3.1%
2:2
2.5%
4:0
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentinos Juniors Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Argentinos Juniors | Independ. Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 14 |
| 24 | Points | 16 |
| 44% | Win % | 19% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Argentinos Juniors at Home
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Independ. Rivadavia Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Argentinos Juniors
W
W
W
W
Independ. Rivadavia
W
D
D
