1
60%
Home Win
1.67
X
31%
Draw
3.24
2
9%
Away Win
10.96
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
18%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 1.2 goals and Cape Verde Islands an expected 0.3 goals. Argentina have a 60% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Cape Verde Islands at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
26.7%
0:0
22%
2:0
16.2%
1:1
8%
0:1
6.6%
3:0
6.5%
2:1
4.9%
4:0
2%
3:1
2%
1:2
1.2%
0:2
1%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 60% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.67 |
| Market Odds | 1.77 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Cape Verde Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 3 |
| 100% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
