1
62%
Home Win
1.61
X
29%
Draw
3.43
2
9%
Away Win
11.68
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
21%
BTTS
19%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 1.3 goals and Cape Verde Islands an expected 0.3 goals. Argentina have a 62% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Cape Verde Islands at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 79%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
26.3%
0:0
20.5%
2:0
16.9%
1:1
7.9%
3:0
7.3%
0:1
6.1%
2:1
5.1%
4:0
2.3%
3:1
2.2%
1:2
1.2%
0:2
0.9%
2:2
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Cape Verde Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 3 |
| 100% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |