1
93%
Home Win
1.08
X
3%
Draw
38.91
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
4.50
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
82%
BTTS
28%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Argentina an expected 4.5 goals and Algeria an expected 0.3 goals. Argentina have a 93% win probability, draw stands at 3%, and Algeria at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
13.4%
3:0
12%
2:0
8%
4:1
4.6%
3:1
4.1%
1:0
3.5%
2:1
2.7%
1:1
1.2%
4:2
0.8%
0:0
0.8%
3:2
0.7%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Argentina Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Argentina | Algeria | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |