Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Jupiler Pro League
1 40%
Home Win 2.51
X 29%
Draw 3.49
2 32%
Away Win 3.17
xG Home 1.21
xG Away 1.04
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 1.0 goals. Anderlecht have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and KV Mechelen at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.3%
1:0 12.7%
0:1 11%
0:0 10.6%
2:1 8%
2:0 7.7%
1:2 6.9%
0:2 5.7%
2:2 4.2%
3:1 3.2%
3:0 3.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Anderlecht Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Anderlecht KV Mechelen
6 League Position 5
22 Points 24
39% Win % 39%
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23

Venue Form

Anderlecht at Home
W1 D1 L2 (4 games)
25% win rate
KV Mechelen Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Anderlecht
D W L L
KV Mechelen
L L D

Head to Head

18 Apr 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen 1 : 2 Anderlecht
W
15 Mar 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen 1 : 0 Anderlecht
L
01 Nov 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht 3 : 1 KV Mechelen
L