Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 17 May 2026 · Jupiler Pro League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.54
xG Away 1.09
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
BTTS 52%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.5 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 1.1 goals. Anderlecht have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and KV Mechelen at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 11.1%
2:1 9.3%
2:0 8.5%
0:1 7.8%
0:0 7.2%
1:2 6.6%
2:2 5.1%
3:1 4.8%
3:0 4.4%
0:2 4.3%
3:2 2.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Anderlecht Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Anderlecht KV Mechelen
4 League Position 6
33 Points 29
38% Win % 33%
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.53

Venue Form

Anderlecht at Home
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate
KV Mechelen Away
W0 D2 L2 (4 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Anderlecht
W D W L L
KV Mechelen
D L L D

Head to Head

18 Apr 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen 1 : 2 Anderlecht
W
15 Mar 2026 Jupiler Pro League
KV Mechelen 1 : 0 Anderlecht
L
01 Nov 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Anderlecht 3 : 1 KV Mechelen
L