1
40%
Home Win
2.51
X
29%
Draw
3.49
2
32%
Away Win
3.17
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 1.0 goals. Anderlecht have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and KV Mechelen at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
11%
0:0
10.6%
2:1
8%
2:0
7.7%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3.2%
3:0
3.1%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Anderlecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 5 |
| 22 | Points | 24 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
Venue Form
Anderlecht at Home
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
KV Mechelen Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Anderlecht
D
W
L
L
KV Mechelen
L
L
D
Head to Head
KV Mechelen
1 : 2
Anderlecht
W
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Anderlecht
L
Anderlecht
3 : 1
KV Mechelen
L