1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.54
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
52%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Anderlecht an expected 1.5 goals and KV Mechelen an expected 1.1 goals. Anderlecht have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and KV Mechelen at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
11.1%
2:1
9.3%
2:0
8.5%
0:1
7.8%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
5.1%
3:1
4.8%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.3%
3:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Anderlecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Anderlecht | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 6 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 38% | Win % | 33% |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
Venue Form
Anderlecht at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
KV Mechelen Away
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Anderlecht
W
D
W
L
L
KV Mechelen
D
L
L
D
Head to Head
KV Mechelen
1 : 2
Anderlecht
W
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Anderlecht
L
Anderlecht
3 : 1
KV Mechelen
L