1
64%
Home Win
1.56
X
27%
Draw
3.68
2
9%
Away Win
11.21
xG Home
1.39
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Algeria an expected 1.4 goals and Burkina Faso an expected 0.3 goals. Algeria have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Burkina Faso at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
24.6%
0:0
17.7%
2:0
17.1%
1:1
8.4%
3:0
7.9%
0:1
6%
2:1
5.8%
4:0
2.8%
3:1
2.7%
1:2
1.4%
0:2
1%
2:2
1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Algeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Algeria | Burkina Faso | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 100% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Algeria
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
D
Algeria
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
D
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Algeria
D