1
40%
Home Win
2.52
X
30%
Draw
3.37
2
31%
Away Win
3.25
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
0.97
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Aldosivi an expected 1.1 goals and Banfield an expected 1.0 goals. Aldosivi have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Banfield at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.8%
1:1
13.4%
0:0
12%
0:1
11.7%
2:0
7.9%
2:1
7.7%
1:2
6.5%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
3.7%
3:0
3%
3:1
2.9%
1:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Aldosivi Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Aldosivi | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 9 |
| 18 | Points | 21 |
| 31% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
Venue Form
Aldosivi at Home
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Banfield Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Aldosivi
L
D
D
W
Banfield
L
W
D
L
