1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
0.64
Over 2.5 Goals
25%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Alanyaspor an expected 1.1 goals and Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.6 goals. Alanyaspor have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Kocaelispor FK at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 75%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
19.2%
0:0
17.5%
1:1
12.4%
0:1
11.3%
2:0
10.6%
2:1
6.8%
1:2
4%
3:0
3.9%
0:2
3.6%
3:1
2.5%
2:2
2.2%
4:0
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Alanyaspor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Alanyaspor | Kocaelispor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 10 |
| 37 | Points | 37 |
| 21% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.76 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Alanyaspor at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Kocaelispor FK Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Alanyaspor
W
L
Kocaelispor FK
L
D
L
