1
30%
Home Win
3.34
X
26%
Draw
3.86
2
44%
Away Win
2.27
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Alanyaspor an expected 1.2 goals and Besiktas an expected 1.5 goals. Alanyaspor have a 30% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Besiktas at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
0:1
10.7%
1:2
9%
1:0
8.4%
0:2
7.8%
0:0
7.3%
2:1
7.1%
2:2
5.2%
2:0
4.9%
1:3
4.4%
0:3
3.8%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Besiktas Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Alanyaspor | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 37 | Points | 60 |
| 21% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Alanyaspor at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Besiktas Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Alanyaspor
W
L
Besiktas
D
W
L
