1
53%
Home Win
1.89
X
24%
Draw
4.2
2
23%
Away Win
4.28
xG Home
1.72
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Al Shabab an expected 1.7 goals and Al Riyadh an expected 1.1 goals. Al Shabab have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Al Riyadh at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.3%
1:0
10.6%
2:1
9.7%
2:0
9.2%
0:1
6.6%
0:0
6.2%
1:2
6%
3:1
5.6%
3:0
5.3%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Al Shabab Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 53% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.89 |
| Market Odds | 2.01 |
Team Comparison
| Al Shabab | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 15 |
| 35 | Points | 30 |
| 24% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Al Shabab at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Al Riyadh Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Al Shabab
L
Al Riyadh
D
